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Strategystandard

You have budget for one big growth bet next year: international expansion or a new product line. How do you decide?

How to approach it

Compare both on the same criteria: size of the prize, chance of success, cost and fit with what the company already does well.

How a strong answer opens

“I'd compare both bets on the same criteria: size of the prize, chance of success, cost, and fit with what we already do well.”

Outline of a strong answer

Try answering out loud for a few minutes before you open this.

  1. Agree on the goal and time horizon: revenue in two years, or a new growth engine for five
  2. Size each prize: reachable customers abroad versus demand from current customers for the new product
  3. Compare what each needs: local payments, language and regulation versus new engineering and sales skills
  4. Estimate cost and time to first meaningful revenue for each
  5. Compare how cheaply each can be tested first, such as one country or a beta with top customers
  6. Recommend one, with a six-month checkpoint and a rule for cutting losses

Where this question usually goes wrong

Picking the more exciting bet without comparing both on the same criteria or setting a point to cut losses.

Learn the method

Growth strategy and where to bet in Module 5, Product strategy.

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