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Estimationstandard

How many elevators are there in Manhattan?

How to approach it

Segment buildings by height, because a five-story walk-up and a sixty-story office tower have very different elevator counts.

How a strong answer opens

“I'll segment buildings by height and type, because a five-story walk-up and a sixty-story tower have very different elevator counts.”

Outline of a strong answer

Try answering out loud for a few minutes before you open this.

  1. Clarify: passenger and freight, all of Manhattan
  2. Estimate buildings by type and height
  3. Elevators per building type
  4. Multiply buildings by elevators per building and sum across types
  5. Sanity-check using people per elevator

Where this question usually goes wrong

Applying one elevator count to every building, which misses that a few tall towers hold a large share of the elevators.

Learn the method

Top-down and bottom-up in Module 3, Estimation.

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